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Absolute Power: The Future of China’s Influence in the Maldives

Absolute Power: The Future of China’s Influence in the Maldives

Maldives President Mohamed Muizzu’s party scored a surprising victory in the recent parliamentary elections, raising concerns about a potential return to authoritarian rule. The landslide win by Muizzu’s People’s National Congress (PNC) has given him absolute power with a majority in parliament, prompting fears of unchecked authority and a lack of accountability.

The victory comes after a bitter split with former President Abdulla Yameen, who was barred from contesting the elections. Muizzu’s campaign promises to free Yameen and reduce Indian influence in the Maldives resonated with voters, leading to his unexpected triumph.

However, the consolidation of power in the hands of one party has sparked worries about the erosion of democratic institutions and the rule of law. Critics fear that Muizzu’s government could undermine the judiciary, rewrite the constitution, and suppress dissent.

Furthermore, the Maldives faces economic challenges, with a high level of debt and limited sources of external support. Relations with India, a key ally, have deteriorated following Muizzu’s decision to expel Indian military personnel from the country. This move has strained bilateral ties and raised concerns about the future of economic cooperation.

In this context, China’s role in the Maldives is gaining significance, with the possibility of Beijing providing financial assistance and debt restructuring. Muizzu’s recent visit to China and President Xi Jinping’s warm reception suggest a potential alignment of interests between the two countries.

As the Maldives navigates these complex political and economic dynamics, the international community will be closely watching to see how the new government balances competing interests and addresses the pressing challenges facing the island nation.
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1. President Muizzu’s party, the People’s National Congress, won a landslide victory in the parliamentary elections in Maldives, giving him absolute power with a majority of 75 out of 93 seats in the parliament.

2. Concerns are raised about the potential return to tyranny, as there may be no checks or balances on the president’s power with such a majority. There are fears that the judiciary may be influenced, the constitution may be rewritten, and fair election provisions may be weakened.

3. President Muizzu campaigned on promises to boost infrastructure development and deliver megaprojects, but the Maldives is facing economic challenges with high debt distress and the need for urgent policy adjustments according to the IMF.

4. Relations with India, a key ally, are strained as President Muizzu has made efforts to expel Indian military personnel from the country. This has led to a decrease in tourism from India and tensions between the two nations.

5. China, another major player in the region, may have more leverage with President Muizzu following his victory. China has offered some assistance, such as grant aid and debt restructuring, but the extent of their support and potential favors in return are unclear.

6. The international community, particularly India and Western diplomats, are closely monitoring the situation in Maldives and expressing concerns about China’s potential influence in the region as a result of President Muizzu’s actions and policies.

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